Geopolitical Briefing: Sudan
— 14 August 2025
New Geopolitical Developments (Past 7 Days, Foreign Policy Focus):
- Sudan conducts airstrike on foreign-linked forces in Darfur
- UN rejects RSF’s rival government attempt
- UAE bars Sudanese aircraft amid escalating diplomatic crisis
- Israel‐South Sudan discussions spark speculation of Gaza resettlement
- Jebel Barkal archaeological project endures as symbol of resilience
Sudanese Airstrike Targets Foreign-Linked Forces in Darfur
On 6 August 2025, Sudanese military aircraft struck Nyala airport in Darfur, killing at least 40 suspected Colombian mercenaries and destroying what was described as an Emirati military aircraft carrying RSF-bound weapons. The strike was framed as an assertion of sovereignty and an effort to deter foreign interference, especially alleged UAE involvement—claims the UAE denies.
This event reflects Sudan’s attempt to reassert control over its airspace and limit external military influence.
(AP News, AP News, Financial Times)
UN Security Council Rejects RSF’s Bid for an Alternative Government
On 13 August, the UN Security Council condemned the RSF’s attempt to establish a parallel government in RSF-held areas, primarily Darfur, saying it undermines Sudan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The move also intensifies the humanitarian crisis and threatens state cohesion.
This international rebuke reinforces the legitimacy of Sudan’s recognized government and counters efforts to fragment political control.
(AP News)
UAE Imposes Aviation Ban on Sudanese Aircraft
In direct response to the Nyala airstrike, the UAE barred Sudanese planes from its airports and annulled scheduled departures from Abu Dhabi—an abrupt diplomatic retaliation.
This action highlights the UAE’s strategic leverage over Sudan and underscores the fragility of Sudan’s political autonomy in the face of Gulf diplomatic pressure.
(AP News)
Israel–South Sudan Talks Spark Resettlement Speculation
Recent reports indicate Israeli officials are in discussions with South Sudan regarding potential relocation of Palestinians from Gaza—raising speculation that Sudan may have been approached similarly in the past. Although Sudan has previously rejected such overtures, the regional focus on forced migration plans involving fragile African states adds geopolitical complexity.
This development suggests external actors exploiting regional instability and resource vulnerabilities to advance controversial demographic strategies.
(The Times)
Jebel Barkal Archaeological Site Serves as Refuge for IDPs
Despite conflict and limited funding, the ancient site of Jebel Barkal has become a refuge and job source for thousands of displaced persons. Ongoing international academic support—e.g., from the University of Michigan—has sustained archaeological work and provided solar-powered infrastructure.
This cultural project serves as a rare point of societal resilience and identity preservation amid widespread destruction.
(Financial Times)
